The future of chemical fiber industry: simply making the road narrow

With the uncertainties in the recovery and development of the global economy and the slowdown in China's economy, the chemical fiber industry has been affected by many internal and external factors. The slowdown in macroeconomic development and structural adjustment have provided a strong and favorable mechanism for the transformation and upgrading of China's chemical fiber industry. More and more companies in the chemical fiber industry have come to the crossroads of development. They realize that stopping to think is responsible for long-term development. Although the industry is currently in a predicament, but the reporter did not feel the confusion of the participants at the scene, on the contrary, they have more consensus and expectations for the development of the industry.

Gao Yong, vice president of the China National Textile and Apparel Council, said that in the future, the chemical fiber industry will develop in a way that is driven by innovation, endogenous growth, resource conservation, and efficient intensive production. The chemical fiber industry will shift from the development of conventional fibers to the development of high-tech fibers and functional fibers.

Duan Xiaoping, president of the China Chemical Fiber Industry Association, also believes that China’s chemical fiber industry has already gone through a stage of development that depends on making large quantities and pursuing scale to win opportunities. It is shifting from a period of rapid growth dominated by scale expansion to structural adjustment and quality. Benefit-led economic steady growth period. This view was recognized by many chemical fiber entrepreneurs. They sensed in the ups and downs of the market that the speculative development in the chemical fiber industry will not bring a broader profit margin. Instead, it will focus on operating the product, operating the culture, and operating. Brand. The infusion of new technologies, new resources, low carbon, and brand vitality into the chemical fiber industry in a complex environment has become the company’s common responsibility. Comparing the chemical fiber industry in many countries and regions in the world, it can be found that reconstructing the new advantages of China's chemical fiber under the new situation is extremely urgent.

There is room for growth in the future. Since China's chemical fiber industry entered the “12th Five-Year Plan”, its growth rate has dropped significantly. In fact, during the “11th Five-Year Plan” period, the annual growth rate of the chemical fiber industry was 13.2%, and the annual growth rate of chemical fiber in the “12th Five-Year Plan” of the chemical fiber industry has been adjusted to 5.8%. Wang Wei, deputy director of the Consumer Products Industry Department of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, said that the pace of development in these years is within expectations. In judging the situation in the future, Wang Wei pointed out that, on the surface of the overall situation, although the growth rate of China's chemical fiber industry is less than half of the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” period, the quality of development is steadily increasing. And from the perspective of future development trends, China's chemical fiber industry still has a lot of room for development after the transformation and upgrading.

Xu Kunyuan, honorary president of the China Textile Industry Federation, said after analyzing the development status of the world's chemical fiber industry, the world’s fiber production continues to show an upward trend, in which the importance of chemical fiber continues to show over time, and China’s chemical fiber industry still has extensive Room for growth. At the same time, Chinese textiles have gone beyond satisfied consumption and entered into improved consumption, which requires China's textile industry to adjust its structure to meet new consumption patterns. As far as the chemical fiber industry is concerned, Xu Kunyuan stated that changes in consumer demand will lead to the future development of China's chemical fiber industry is not entirely an increase in volume, but also the improvement of quality and increase in variety.

He Yanli, inspector of the Industry Coordination Department of the National Development and Reform Commission, believes that China's chemical fiber industry has now reached a critical period of structural adjustment. While defusing domestic production capacity, we must pay attention to differentiated multifunctional fiber, high-tech fiber, bio-based chemical fiber, and recycled fiber in the future. Variety and industry technology development.

At present, the degree of prosperity of the chemical fiber industry is also receiving much attention. On September 3, Tongkun announced the resolution of the general meeting of shareholders to implement the repurchase of shares not exceeding 550 million yuan. Chen Shiliang, chairman of Tongkun Group, said that the Tongkun Group is optimistic about the development prospects of the industry and believes that the chemical fiber industry is now stabilizing and improving after experiencing profound adjustments. Chen Shiliang said: “This means that the benefits of Tongkun will rebound. We believe that the future stability of Tongkun’s benefits will definitely drive our share price.” Duan Xiaoping commented on the Tongkun Group’s move, said Tong Kun Group. The act of repurchasing shares is encouraging to the industry. This is "the Tongkun Group's confidence in the chemical fiber industry and its confidence in the polyester industry."

Technological innovation is more important In 2011, the global polyester production was 38.68 million tons, accounting for 75% of the total output of synthetic fibers. In 2012, China's polyester production was 30.57 million tons, accounting for 80.6% of China's chemical fiber output. Xu Kunyuan, Honorary President of the China Textile Industry Federation, reviewed the rapid development of the polyester industry when talking about the importance of technology. He pointed out that the reason why the polyester industry has developed so rapidly is mainly due to technological progress. In recent years, the localization of large-capacity, ultra-fine-denominated technical equipment has improved the quality of products and reduced the comparative cost, so some investors are desperately committed to this. market. Therefore, there has been a large amount of investment in similar products during the same period, which has led to the emergence of “indigestion” in the market. Xu Kunyuan also believes that this is not an excess of backward products, but rather the development of equally advanced technology and equipment is too fast.

For more than a decade, technological advances have brought dramatic changes to the polyester industry. Duan Xiaoping also introduced in his speech that the polyester polyester industry is the biggest beneficiary of technological progress. At present, the unit investment of the polyester industry is 1/8 of that of 10 years ago, the construction period is 1/2 of the original, the processing cost of the product is 1/2 of the original, and the spinning speed is 8 times that of 10 years ago.

In the past 10 years, China's chemical fiber industry has made considerable progress relying on scientific and technological advancement. In the next 10 years, the industry will rely more on scientific and technological progress to complete industrial upgrading. Duan Xiaoping analyzes three main reasons: First, the transformation of China's economy cannot continue to support the expansion of a simple scale; Second, the marginal effect of technological progress on cost control and scale is gradually decreasing; Third, traditional developed countries promote chemical fiber The power and capability of the industry’s technological progress are continuously declining. The Chinese chemical fiber industry will inevitably gradually assume the responsibility of stimulating the technological progress of the global fiber industry.

High-performance fiber ushered in the development of high-speed period Duan Duan Xiaoping believes that the next 5 to 10 years is the golden period for the development of high-performance fiber. He believes that there are several facts that can confirm this view: the industrial application field is constantly expanding; High-performance fiber production brings advantages for later development, including low-cost production and expansion of downstream applications; China's economic transformation and upgrading, including the need for transformation and upgrading of the chemical fiber industry. For the development of high-performance fibers, Duan Xiaoping has several suggestions: To absorb the development experience of conventional chemical fiber varieties, it is more advantageous to develop from the downstream to the upstream; to keep a close eye on the development direction of international chemical fiber, to achieve low-cost production is a global trend; Pay attention to basic theoretical research and strengthen cooperation with scientific research institutions; pay attention to research and development of recycling technology to reduce the problem of high-performance resistance to acid and corrosion-resistant fibers in the application process in the future.

Regarding the next 3 to 5 years, which high-performance fibers are the most worthy of promotion and application, Zhao Qiang, dean of the China Textile Research Institute, said that high-performance fibers such as carbon fiber, high-strength and high-modulus polyethylene fibers, polyphenylene ether, and basalt fibers Both will be widely used in product development in downstream areas. Zhao Qiang said that the development of future products directly affects the development of high-performance fibers. How to increase the application and development of these high-performance fibers must be determined according to the characteristics of the fibers themselves.

The high-speed development of high-performance fibers is very important on the one hand because of the demand for industrial textiles. In view of the global situation, many countries and regions have targeted the future development market of the chemical fiber industry, and have continuously expanded the technology and fusion technology to expand the application of fiber. The vice president of the Japan Chemical Fibre Industry Association, Hideki Uedada, stated that the target market for the application of chemical fiber products in Japan will be further expanded and will make more efforts in areas such as transportation, information, and the environment. SureshChanderKapur, secretary general of the Synthetic Fiber Association of India, also pointed out that the largest direction of the application of chemical fiber in India is industrial textiles, including medical, building materials, automobile manufacturing, sports goods and other fields.