The textile industry will show a trend of "pre-steady and high"

On January 31, the "2012-2013 Textile Industry Economic Situation Presentation Conference" was held at the China Textile Industry Federation (hereinafter referred to as China Textile Federation). It made a report to the media on the economic performance of the textile industry in 2012 and the industry development trend in 2013. Informed and conducted in-depth discussions on hot issues such as cotton. Wang Tiankai, President of China Textile Association, Gao Yong, Vice Chairman and Secretary-General of China Textile Association, and Sun Huaibin, Director of China Textile News Center, attended the press conference.

The growth rate of the industry slowed down in 2012 In 2012, the industry’s major economic indicators steadily increased. According to statistics, the total industrial output value of the 37,000 textile enterprises above designated size reached 5781.0 billion yuan in 2012, an increase of 12.3% year-on-year; the total profit of January-November reached 245.75 billion yuan; the total investment in fixed assets of over 5 million yuan in the entire industry It reached 779.3 billion yuan, an increase of 14.6% year-on-year; total social textile and apparel exports reached 262.56 billion US dollars, an increase of 3.3% year-on-year. However, compared with the previous year, the economic growth rate of the textile industry slowed down in 2012.

In this regard, Wang Tiankai, president of China Textile Association, said that the slowdown in the growth of the industry is "normal." This not only corresponds to the overall slowdown in domestic economic growth, but also comes at a time when domestic cotton spreads are widening. Wang Tiankai believes that last year's textile and apparel exports increased by only 3.3% year-on-year, mainly due to three reasons: the lack of market demand, the weakening of the international competitiveness of cotton products with large spreads, and the continuous rise in costs. Therefore, the industry must pay attention to the export market.

It is understood that in 2012, the international market demand was sluggish. According to relevant data, the total imports of textiles and clothing from the United States and the European Union fell by 0.9% and 5% from January to November respectively, resulting in insufficient orders for export enterprises in China. At the same time, the difference between domestic and foreign cotton prices continued to widen. Affected by domestic management policies, the domestic cotton price was about 45% higher than the international market at the end of 2012, which seriously affected the competitiveness of the cotton spinning industry chain. From January to November, China’s cotton yarn export value decreased by 8.9% year-on-year. %, imports increased by 56.1%. In addition, the international market share has declined. The share of the EU and Japan import markets in January-November remained high at 73.2% and 40.1%, but dropped by 1.8 and 1.1 percentage points from the same period last year.

In addition, in 2012 the textile industry made new progress in its industrial restructuring. The strengthening of internal power and the external environment are simultaneously acting to promote the structural adjustment of the textile industry to continue to deepen, and play a fundamental support role for the stable operation of the industry. Technological progress in the textile industry promotes the improvement of production efficiency. From January to November, per capita output value of enterprises above designated size increased year-on-year. 14.2%; domestic demand has played a more prominent role in the development of the industry, and the market structure has become more reasonable. The annual domestic output value of enterprises above the designated size has increased by 12.3% year-on-year, 9.9 percentage points higher than the export delivery value of the same caliber; the end of the industry chain brand The development achieved good results, and the growth was good. The profit growth rates of enterprises above the scale from home textiles and industrial use from January to November were 14.9% and 16.2% respectively, which was significantly higher than the industry average; the organizational structure was optimized and the production orders were improved. The trend of enterprise concentration is obvious. According to the data of the Ministry of Commerce, the total export value of garment enterprises ranked among the top 20 exporters nationwide increased by 33.6% from January to November, which was higher than the average growth rate of the garment industry by 30.2 percentage points; Promote the annual investment in fixed assets in the six provinces in central China to increase by 15.9% year-on-year, which is higher than that in the eastern region. Points.

The industry's operating situation is expected to maintain steady growth in 2013 Gao Yong, vice chairman and secretary-general of China Textile Federation, believes that in 2013, the economic situation at home and abroad will remain more complicated. The development of the textile industry not only has considerable positive factors, but also faces many risk challenges. The domestic demand market will continue to provide the textile industry with the power to achieve stable development. At the same time, however, the pressure on external demand will remain weak, the price difference between cotton will be large, and production costs will increase. It is expected that the industrial economy of the whole year will show the trend of “pre-stable and high”. The level of 2012 will be maintained at the beginning of the year, and the growth in the second half of the year is expected to gradually increase.

In 2013, due to the uncertainties of the European debt crisis and other uncertainties, the international market did not have the conditions for significant improvement, but it did not deteriorate significantly. The export situation of the textile industry is expected to remain relatively stable. Gao Yong stated that as the income of urban and rural residents in China continues to increase, urbanization will be promoted in an orderly manner, various benefits for the people's livelihood and measures to expand domestic demand will be further implemented and the results will be further improved. The domestic demand market will continue to maintain stable and rapid growth, and the growth rate will increase. This accelerated the growth of production and sales of the textile industry compared to 2012.

Gao Yong also pointed out that the impact of cotton policy on the industry is still outstanding. Due to the fact that the international cotton market is still in a state of oversupply, the international cotton price in 2013 lacked a sharp rebound. Due to the fact that the temporary purchase and storage of cotton will continue to be implemented, domestic cotton prices will remain high in 2013, and the issue of cotton price difference between domestic and foreign countries will continue to exist. At present, the difference between cotton prices at home and abroad is as high as 6,000 yuan/ton. It is difficult for textile companies to adjust their negative influences caused by spreads alone. Therefore, how to take measures from the policy level to effectively reduce the cotton price gap between inside and outside and ease the competitive pressures of cotton spinning companies will become an impact on textiles. The important factors for the operation of the industry. At present, the country has not yet established a clear solution to the issue of cotton price difference between domestic and foreign countries. However, if we can quickly study and introduce relevant solutions, it will be of positive significance to promote the further improvement of the textile industry.

It is understood that in the past more than 20 years, the domestic and foreign cotton spreads have been maintained at about 1,500 yuan / ton -2000 yuan / ton (domestic cotton prices higher than foreign cotton prices), in such a difference, China's textile clothing also Maintained a strong competitive edge. “If the national policy can now adjust domestic cotton prices to be around RMB 2,000/ton higher than international cotton, not only companies can accept it, but our products can remain quite competitive.”

Since September 2010, domestic cotton prices have risen madly; after entering 2011, domestic cotton prices have been rising and falling, which has seriously hampered the stable operation of the textile industry. In order to stabilize the price of domestic cotton, starting in September 2011, the country implemented a cotton purchasing and storage price of 19,800/ton. However, international cotton prices are still down, and domestic and foreign cotton prices have formed a huge difference. Although, afterwards, the state increased the purchase of cotton in the international market, it still failed to increase the international cotton price. Today, the state continues to implement the cotton purchase and storage policy, and its purchase and storage price is 20,400 yuan/ton. In 2013, the state launched cotton dumping and storage, throwing 38,000 tons at a price of 19,000 yuan per ton. Because more than 90% of the cotton is before Chennai in 2009, it is less attractive to textile companies.

Gao Yong stated that the China Textile Federation hopes that the relevant government departments will increase the quotas for cotton quotas and processing trade quotas in addition to the quota of 84.9 million tons for 1% tariffs; at the same time, they hope that the cotton can enjoy the same subsidy treatment as food and give farmers direct subsidies. . “Currently, there is no other subsidy for cotton farmers except for fine subsidies of 15 yuan per mu.” Gao Yong said that the best way is to give direct subsidies to farmers to increase the enthusiasm of cotton farmers to grow cotton.